But what is hedging all about in the first place?

Conspiracy theorists have their hands in the air. What’s that? Portfolio hedging strategies were created to expand the market for the first generation of derivative products— options and futures contracts. Hmmm, not so far fetched an idea, really. Just back up a bit and think about what they are trying to accomplish.

Hedges are designed to massage your market value numbers, a kind of security blanket that softens the highs and lows of the market cycle. But why focus on the fluff of transient market values in the first place? Cycles eventually correct themselves without the unnecessary drama, guesswork, risk, and trading fees.

It’s not the market value of the portfolio that is of primary importance. It’s the actual content of the portfolio and how you deal with the natural dynamics of the securities you own. Why can’t the media reinforce that kind of stuff instead of the emotion of the month?

If a portfolio has a semi-guaranteed “base income” of 4%, a 4% cushion (or hedge) is always in place, one that grows annually with proper asset allocation management, and adds to the market value in upward cycles— nah, too simple.

For the “rest of the story”:

http://kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net/Inv/index.cfm/6979

Steve Selengut

http://www.kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.com/

http://www.sancoservices.com

Professional Portfolio Management since 1979

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”

Many of the advantages of Closed End Funds are discussed below. It should be abundantly clear that this form of investment has eliminated nearly all of the drawbacks of conventional mutual funds. The two have very little in common.

Trading Liquidity – Flexibility – Cost: Closed End Fund shares may be bought or sold at any time during the trading day, just like common stocks, and share prices will fluctuate. They are excellent start up investment vehicles for smaller accounts where diversification would otherwise be difficult to achieve.

There are no penalties for leaving the CEF when the stock is sold. The only direct cost involved is the commission paid when buying or selling the shares.

For “the rest of the story”: http://kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net/Inv/index.cfm/6938

Steve Selengut

http://www.kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.com/

http://www.sancoservices.com

Professional Portfolio Management since 1979

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”

The only reason for a person to assume the risks associated with investing is the possibility of achieving a higher rate of return than is attainable in risk free savings depositories for their capital (money). Investing is a get rich slowly process, conducted in an uncertain environment — one that must be understood and managed in a way that minimizes the risks involved.

The Working Capital Model accomplishes this by eliminating the need for impersonal comparisons with arbitrary and unrelated numbers and time periods. It works best with portfolios that are diversified among individual securities that are at the same time of high quality and income producing.

The key to successful investment management is Asset Allocation, the process of dividing the available investment dollars into two, and only two, buckets: equity investments and income producing investments.

All investment grade securities fit within one of these two classifications, based solely upon the primary purpose for their ownership. There are several key issues involved in successful Asset Allocation:

For the rest of the article, and links to Parts Two and Three:

http://kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net/Inv/index.cfm/6886

Steve Selengut

http://www.sancoservices.com

http://www.kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

The Brainwashing of the American Investor ~Steven Selengut

From the end of 1999 through the end of 2009, all of the popular Wall Street market performance measurement tools were in the red. The average bloodletting level of the DJIA, the S & P 500, and the NASDAQ was a disturbing-to-some minus nineteen percent.

The Media has dubbed it “The Dismal Decade”.

Most of the investment community is either open-mouthed in shock or strident in blame about the somethings or someones who must be responsible for such horrific performance. Never again they swear to their clients— without ever a hint that they might themselves be the problem.

It won’t be long before the Wizards of Wall Street announce that they have studied the situation, and readied their sales minions to switch the shattered investment public into yet another fail proof (fool-magnet?) portfolio of hedges, gimmicks, signal responders, and panaceas for whatever the new decade brings.

Once again they will attempt to debug the market cycle and create an upward only future for the masses. Try not to be abused again— the markets aren’t broken, just the market shakers. Your portfolio should be up in market value— and not by just a little for the “dismal decade”.

These are the same geniuses that created the dotcom bubble by cramming valueless securities and speculative IPOs down your throats. They are the same charlatans who created the derivative markets and fraudulently hid their gaming devices in innocent looking rolls of tissue paper.

Wall Street thrives on the boom and bust scenario— because it doesn’t really matter to them how many of you win or lose. The evidence is clear; a boring-but-winning approach has been out there (and ignored) for three equally productive decades. The investment gods are outraged!

The past decade was a fabulous decade for old-fashioned value investors, particularly those with a reasonable selling discipline in their methodology!

It was a fabulous decade for those who understood that quality, diversification, and income generation are principles as opposed to media placating buzzwords.

It was a fabulous decade for those investors who were able to see over, beyond, and through artificial time constraints to find the long-term opportunities within every beautiful market cycle undulation. There were plenty of gyrations to gyrate to if you only knew how.

Investing is no longer a passive enterprise; and it never really was. If you can’t manage your portfolio throughout the market cycle, without succumbing either to greed, to panic, or to artificial and complicated hedging strategies, just stop. Right now. Listen and learn something old.

The only market cycle hedges needed are quality, diversification, and income— all classically defined. Throw in some disciplined selection and selling guidelines, a cost-based asset allocation formula, and a non-calendar year perspective and success will follow— cyclically.

You may miss a speculative spike or two (i.e., bubbles), but in the long run, Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) is a proven methodology for long run investment success.

You just can’t replace market cycle reality with calendar year gimmickry. Do better. Google investment grade value stock and request the ten-year MCIM numbers.

Change is good.

Steve Selengut

http://kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net/Inv/Search.cfm

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

The yield premium of Treasury bonds over Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPS) has reached a 16-month high, signaling inflation ahead.

The yield premium for 10-year Treasuries over 10-year TIPS closed above 2.25 percentage points four times last week, the longest streak since August 2008, Bloomberg reports.

That spread indicates that 10-year Treasury yields, now 3.63 percent, may be headed higher.

“It could be an environment where we see 4 percent on 10-year yields, which we think is likely in the near term,” Carl Lantz, an interest-rate strategist Credit Suisse, told Bloomberg.

TIPS have returned 11 percent so far this year, according to Merrill Lynch. And that shows investors are worried about inflation.

“A lot of people are investing in the asset class viewing that with the amount of liquidity that the Fed has provided the market, and the devaluation of the dollar, that inflation’s inevitable somewhere down the road,” Todd White, who oversees government bond trading at RiverSource Investments, told Bloomberg.

Meanwhile, Treasuries will almost certainly produce a negative return for the first time in 10 years. They are down 2.4 percent so far this year including reinvested interest, according to Merrill Lynch.

To be sure, the recent news that “core” consumer prices, which exclude food and energy, were unchanged in November from October quelled some inflation worries.

“The downward pressure on core inflation continues,” Ian Shepherdson, chief US economist at High Frequency Economics, told the Financial Times.