…  is the “volatility” that most
people fear and that Wall Street loves them to fear. It can be narrowly
confined to certain sectors, or much broader, encompassing practically
everything. The broader it becomes, the more likely it is to be categorized as
either a rally or a correction.

Similarly, there
is absolutely no growing income component in any portfolio managed using Modern
Portfolio Theory (MPT). How many non-MCIM investors do you think have retired
recently with more liquid, income-producing assets than they had 12 years ago,
way back in 1999?

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Steve Selengut

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Not Want You To Read”

http://marketcycleinvestmentmanagement.com

The idea that an investment portfolio can contain any number of unrelated speculations without itself being speculative is the stuff that Wall Street’s alternative investment purveyors are selling. True investment portfolios need none of this, and the numbers prove it true beyond any doubt. There is no need to fight or to counteract the market cycle, which is what alternative speculations try to do.

Easily managed, goal-directed investment portfolios should contain both equity and income producing securities — each with their separate purposes within the portfolio, and each with their own unique reactions to the same economic, political, and market stimuli.

The IGVSI, a true blue-chip index, didn’t fall as far as the DJIA or S & P 500, and has risen to a new all time highs far sooner. IGVSI based portfolios, long-term, have done better by far than the dot-com-replacing ETFs, precious metals, and currency futures.

The S & P 500 contains 165 more stocks than the IGVSI, but less than half are Investment Grade Value Stocks. Although it is more broad based, it is also more speculative, and has not done as well as the DJIA. Still 14.7% below the 2007 high, it would need to gain another 17.2% just to claw back to its 2007 level.

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Steve Selengut

http://www.marketcycleinvestmentmanagement.com

http://www.valuestockindex.com

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

The ETF owns every security in the underlying index, and it does so absolutely all of the time. There is no thought of profit taking — and no manager to do it.

Is it clear that weighted indices have little concern with diversification — and why should they?

These are not real investment portfolios. They are sector-tracking mechanisms that have been securitized as Wall Street gambling devices. The three ETFs contained 206, 100, and 142 positions, respectively, but each had roughly 50% of the market value in the top 10 holdings.

And who do you think is influencing the fund creator’s weighting judgment?

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Steve Selengut

http://www.marketcycleinvestmentmanagement.com

http://www.valuestockindex.com

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

 A year later, the market statistics, all of them, are shouting at the top of their lungs — the correction is coming! The correction is coming!

 Portfolio “smart cash” is at pocket-hole-burning levels; less than 3% of all IGVSI stocks are even close to “bargain” prices; new 52-week highs have more than quintupled new lows; and issue breadth has been exceptionally positive.

 Clearly, we are still in a rally. But the longer and the faster we surge upward, the more likely that the next correction will be painful — and there absolutely will be another correction. This rally will celebrate its two-year anniversary on March 9th. How much longer do you think the toga party will last?

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Steve Selengut

http://www.sancoservices.com

http://www.valuestockbuylistprogram.com

Professional Portfolio Management since 1979

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

Instead of rejoicing as the DJIA and S & P establish new three year highs, pay attention to some reality based numbers: together they remain about 15% below where they were at their October 2007 highs. Each would have to gain an additional 18% or so to break even with where they were more than three years ago.

Can a glimpse of the DJIA ever provide the kind of information you need to stay in tune with the market?

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Steve Selengut

http://www.marketcycleinvestmentmanagement.com

http://www.valuestockindex.com

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”, and “A Millionaire’s Secret Investment Strategy”

I was gritting my teeth, shaking more than just a little, palms sweaty but placing dozens of individual orders for the best NYSE, dividend-paying, companies — at prices that nearly everyone thought would drop even further.

Looking around the room, I seemed to be the only one in the office that was actually buying!

Five years later, a smaller scale but similar situation rattled the markets — we invested what we were then both calling “smart cash”, fearlessly, never doubting that we would eventually be taking profits on the new positions. And in 2000, we had a millennium celebration instead of a dot-com bubble bursting.

“Then twenty years later, where were you when the financial crisis hit the fan? Fully invested, or fully capable of taking advantage of renewed bargains in both equity and fixed income markets? And where are you today?”

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Steve Selengut

http://marketcycleinvestmentmanagement.com

http://valuestockindex.com/

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”

Here’s a collection of ten articles that will help you solve the income puzzle:

http://kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net/Inv/index.cfm/18374

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Steve Selengut

http://marketcyclemanagement.com

Professional Portfolio Management since 1979

Author of: “The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street Does Not Want YOU to Read”

There are at least eight reasonable explanations for recent Municipal Bond price weakness — there are at least eight excellent reasons why investors should be viewing this weakness as a buying opportunity. 

Contact Steve for a list of ten Closed End Funds to check out for appropriateness.

http://kiawahgolfinvestmentseminars.net/Inv/index.cfm/18393